My selection for the final day are:
R-1. STAR GODDESS-MOUNTAIN REGIMENT
R-2. BLADES OF GLORY-CALYPSO QUEEN-LAZOR RAZOR
R-3. RULE FOREVER-STAR EMPIRE-LIMITLESS HILLS-CYPRESS POINT
R-4. MONEY FOR NOTHIN-COUGAR-ZORBA/ROYAL CREST
R-5. DIAMONDZIP- FORTUNER- STARLIGHT MAGIC
R-6. RECKLESS ROMEO- MOUNTAIN FORCE- LAKE VIEW
R-7. JEWELLED- AMITAYUS- SNOW MOUNTAIN
R-8. PERFECT STRENGTH-OCTOPAUL-ETESIAN- UNKNOWN REBEL
R-9. EMERGING STAR- SCINTILLO- CROWNED PRINCESS
Horse Ratings
Horse Ratings - Introduction
Horse Ratings are about
calculating a rating for every horse that is to take part in a race so
that anyone can clearly see which horses have a reasonable chance of
winning. Of course no one should think that there is anything "magical"
about horses which are rated top. If you look at most gamblers they are
poor men, and pay most of their money to the bookies!! Ratings are about
deciding on a purely mathematical basis which horses have a better
chance than others of winning the race. Since everyone is asking before
the race "which one do you think will win" its reasonable to calculate a
rating, which previous experience has shown can be quite accurate
Horse Ratings - Be Consistent
The most important
thing when calculating a rating for anything, whether its football
teams, golfers, snooker players, horses, jockeys etc is that you are
always consistent. If you switch and swap between different methods, or
worse still, use the "pin in the wall method", then obviously you cant
compare how you did one day from another day. At least if you are wrong,
you can be consistent
Horse Ratings - Factors That Pinpoint Winners
The starting point for
any Horse Ratings system is the principles of form, we know from
experience, have a bearing on the outcome. Most of these are pretty
obvious, at least to the professional, but maybe not to the average race
goer. For more information on form please see the Horse Racing Form
page in the menu to the left
The sort of factors a ratings plan should allow for might include:
- Place form i.e. the places achieved in the last "x" number of races
- Course Winners
- Distance Winners
- Distance of the race
- Speed Figures
- Prize Money
- Class of Race
- Class of Course
- Handicap or Non-Handicap
- Trainer
- Jockey
- Going
- Weight Carried
- Odds
- Length of time since a win
- The competition i.e. how good are the other horses
- Etc
Horse Ratings - Will Horses Obey The Ratings
The short answer of course is no!!
Most horses simply go out on the course, and do the best they can for
the jockey, who happens to be riding them. The trainer is sat on the
sidelines watching, like a manager in football, he or she cannot
influence anything in the race now, all the preparation has been done.
All the trainer can do is sit and watch
Horse Ratings - Horse Racing Is A Game
Like any sport,
remember: its only a game!! The thrill of getting the ratings right and
coming up with a winner is of course brilliant, but in horse racing you
will always gets more wrong than you will get right. You will hear all kinds of predictions from the "experts";
they are also usually wrong, but they do get some races right. My aim is
always to get ahead of the experts - then I think I deserve a beer!!
Horse Ratings - The Official Handicapper
The Official
Handicapper from the concerned Horse Racing Board, also produces ratings.
These ratings are always pretty good, and form the basis for the
allocation of weights in handicaps. Its worth noticing how many times
the Official Handicapper gets it right. Simply look at the top rated and
where there is some kind of tie take the horse that is the lowest odds,
this can give you the selection that the Official Handicapper thinks
should win. I often look at the Official Handicapper as setting a
template, if I can beat his selections then I am winning in the sport!!
Top Rated Horses of the Past:
Year | 3 year olds | Rating | Older Horses | Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
2011 | Frankel | 136 | Black Caviar | 132 |
2010 | Workforce & Makfi | 128 | Harbinger | 135 |
2009 | Sea The Stars | 136 | Goldikova | 130 |
2008 | New Approach | 130 | Curlin | 130 |
2007 | Authorized | 129 | Manduro | 131 |
2006 | Bernadini & Discreet Cat | 128 | Invasor | 129 |
2005 | Hurricane Run | 130 | Ghostzapper | 128 |
2004 | Smarty Jones | 128 | Ghostzapper | 130 |
2003 | Dalakhani | 132 | Hawk Wing | 133 |
2002 | Rock of Gibraltar | 128 | Marienbard | 127 |
2001 | Point Given | 130 | Sakhee | 133 |
2000 | Sinndar | 132 | Dubai Millenium | 134 |
1999 | Montjeu | 135 | Daylami | 135 |
1998 | Desert Prince | 128 | Skip Away | 131 |
1997 | Peintre Celebre | 137 | Pilsudski | 134 |
1996 | Helissio | 134 | Cigar | 135 |
1995 | Lammtarra | 130 | Cigar | 132 |
1994 | Balanchine | 130 | Maroof | 128 |
1993 | Zafonic | 130 | Opera House | 129 |
1992 | Rodrigo De Triano | 127 | Selkirk | 128 |
1991 | Generous | 137 | Priolo & Epervier Bleu | 126 |
1990 | Dayjur | 133 | Old Vic | 130 |
1989 | Zilzal & Old Vic | 134 | Carroll House | 128 |
1988 | Warning | 133 | Miesque | 132 |
1987 | Reference Point | 135 | Mtoto | 134 |
1986 | Dancing Brave | 141 | Shardari | 132 |
1985 | Slip Anchor | 135 | Rainbow Quest | 133 |
Up to now I still have trouble understanding the terminologies in horse racing and still I get excited in a horse race. Tips are still helpful if you want a win on betting...
ReplyDeleteracing tips
So do I.
DeleteNM