Saturday, April 28, 2012

Curtain Drops on Mumbai & Ratings


My selection for the final day are:

R-1. STAR GODDESS-MOUNTAIN REGIMENT
R-2. BLADES OF GLORY-CALYPSO QUEEN-LAZOR RAZOR
R-3. RULE FOREVER-STAR EMPIRE-LIMITLESS HILLS-CYPRESS POINT
R-4. MONEY FOR NOTHIN-COUGAR-ZORBA/ROYAL CREST
R-5. DIAMONDZIP- FORTUNER- STARLIGHT MAGIC
R-6. RECKLESS ROMEO- MOUNTAIN FORCE- LAKE VIEW
R-7. JEWELLED- AMITAYUS- SNOW MOUNTAIN
R-8. PERFECT STRENGTH-OCTOPAUL-ETESIAN- UNKNOWN REBEL
R-9. EMERGING STAR- SCINTILLO- CROWNED PRINCESS



Horse Ratings

Horse Ratings - Introduction

Horse Ratings are about calculating a rating for every horse that is to take part in a race so that anyone can clearly see which horses have a reasonable chance of winning. Of course no one should think that there is anything "magical" about horses which are rated top. If you look at most gamblers they are poor men, and pay most of their money to the bookies!! Ratings are about deciding on a purely mathematical basis which horses have a better chance than others of winning the race. Since everyone is asking before the race "which one do you think will win" its reasonable to calculate a rating, which previous experience has shown can be quite accurate

Horse Ratings - Be Consistent

The most important thing when calculating a rating for anything, whether its football teams, golfers, snooker players, horses, jockeys etc is that you are always consistent. If you switch and swap between different methods, or worse still, use the "pin in the wall method", then obviously you cant compare how you did one day from another day. At least if you are wrong, you can be consistent

Horse Ratings - Factors That Pinpoint Winners

The starting point for any Horse Ratings system is the principles of form, we know from experience, have a bearing on the outcome. Most of these are pretty obvious, at least to the professional, but maybe not to the average race goer. For more information on form please see the Horse Racing Form page in the menu to the left
The sort of factors a ratings plan should allow for might include:
  • Place form i.e. the places achieved in the last "x" number of races
  • Course Winners
  • Distance Winners
  • Distance of the race
  • Speed Figures
  • Prize Money
  • Class of Race
  • Class of Course
  • Handicap or Non-Handicap
  • Trainer
  • Jockey
  • Going
  • Weight Carried
  • Odds
  • Length of time since a win
  • The competition i.e. how good are the other horses
  • Etc

Horse Ratings - Will Horses Obey The Ratings

The short answer of course is no!! Most horses simply go out on the course, and do the best they can for the jockey, who happens to be riding them. The trainer is sat on the sidelines watching, like a manager in football, he or she cannot influence anything in the race now, all the preparation has been done. All the trainer can do is sit and watch

Horse Ratings - Horse Racing Is A Game

Like any sport, remember: its only a game!! The thrill of getting the ratings right and coming up with a winner is of course brilliant, but in horse racing you will always gets more wrong than you will get right. You will hear all kinds of predictions from the "experts"; they are also usually wrong, but they do get some races right. My aim is always to get ahead of the experts - then I think I deserve a beer!!

Horse Ratings - The Official Handicapper

The Official Handicapper from the concerned Horse Racing Board, also produces ratings. These ratings are always pretty good, and form the basis for the allocation of weights in handicaps. Its worth noticing how many times the Official Handicapper gets it right. Simply look at the top rated and where there is some kind of tie take the horse that is the lowest odds, this can give you the selection that the Official Handicapper thinks should win. I often look at the Official Handicapper as setting a template, if I can beat his selections then I am winning in the sport!! 

Top Rated Horses of the Past:

Year   3 year olds   Rating   Older Horses   Rating
2011   Frankel   136   Black Caviar   132
2010   Workforce & Makfi   128   Harbinger   135
2009   Sea The Stars   136   Goldikova   130
2008   New Approach   130   Curlin   130
2007   Authorized   129   Manduro   131
2006   Bernadini & Discreet Cat   128   Invasor   129
2005   Hurricane Run   130   Ghostzapper   128
2004   Smarty Jones   128   Ghostzapper   130
2003   Dalakhani   132   Hawk Wing   133
2002   Rock of Gibraltar   128   Marienbard   127
2001   Point Given   130   Sakhee   133
2000   Sinndar   132   Dubai Millenium   134
1999   Montjeu   135   Daylami   135
1998   Desert Prince   128   Skip Away   131
1997   Peintre Celebre   137   Pilsudski   134
1996   Helissio   134   Cigar   135
1995   Lammtarra   130   Cigar   132
1994   Balanchine   130   Maroof   128
1993   Zafonic   130   Opera House   129
1992   Rodrigo De Triano   127   Selkirk   128
1991   Generous   137   Priolo & Epervier Bleu   126
1990   Dayjur   133   Old Vic   130
1989   Zilzal & Old Vic   134   Carroll House   128
1988   Warning   133   Miesque   132
1987   Reference Point   135   Mtoto   134
1986   Dancing Brave   141   Shardari   132
1985   Slip Anchor   135   Rainbow Quest   133

2 comments:

  1. Up to now I still have trouble understanding the terminologies in horse racing and still I get excited in a horse race. Tips are still helpful if you want a win on betting...

    racing tips

    ReplyDelete